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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 2Georgia @ AP rank 6Alabama

OVER 51.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · BRYANT-DENNY STADIUM
Georgia5-068%
Alabama5-032%
UGANATL RANKALA
10th
Model Overall
21st
19th
Model Offense
44th
12th
Model Defense
15th
1.0
Pace
-3.7
69%
Returning PPA
26%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.5
Model total59.1
OVER 51.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Georgia +2.5 · No signal

-5-4-3-2-10+1+2+3+4Open5:03 PMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Georgia line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Georgia line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Georgia line -0.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Georgia line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Georgia line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Georgia line +2.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Georgia line +2.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UGA wk 6 · ALA wk 6

Model margin
Georgia by 3.28
Opening line
Georgia -3
Latest line
Georgia +2.5
Close total
51.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UGA20
FINALBryant-Denny Stadium
ALA17
  • WinGeorgiaWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 51.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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