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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

Rice @ East Carolina

OVER 47.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM
Rice1-418%
East Carolina2-282%
RICENATL RANKECU
136th
Model Overall
48th
137th
Model Offense
82nd
118th
Model Defense
29th
-4.4
Pace
3.7
39%
Returning PPA
14%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.0
Model total51.3
OVER 47.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Rice +10.0 · No signal

+9+10+11Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Rice line
+10.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Rice line +10.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: RICE wk 6 · ECU wk 6

Model margin
East Carolina by 14.34
Opening line
Rice +10
Latest line
Rice +10
Close total
46.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

RICE12
FINALDowdy-Ficklen Stadium
ECU28
  • WinEast CarolinaWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 47.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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