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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 10LSU @ Kentucky

OVER 50.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · KROGER FIELD
LSU4-176%
Kentucky4-124%
LSUNATL RANKUK
52nd
Model Overall
84th
89th
Model Offense
91st
30th
Model Defense
59th
-3.6
Pace
-3.5
21%
Returning PPA
19%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.5
Model total54.8
OVER 50.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: LSU -8.5 · No signal

-11-10-9-8Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

LSU line
-8.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; LSU line -10.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; LSU line -9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; LSU line -8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; LSU line -8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; LSU line -8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; LSU line -8.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: LSU wk 6 · UK wk 6

Model margin
LSU by 7.42
Opening line
LSU -10.5
Latest line
LSU -9.25
Close total
50.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

LSU34
FINALKroger Field
UK35
  • WinLSUWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 50.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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