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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 23Boise State @ Fresno State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · VALLEY CHILDREN'S STADIUM
Boise State4-161%
Fresno State4-139%
BOISNATL RANKFRES
54th
Model Overall
63rd
78th
Model Offense
115th
39th
Model Defense
22nd
2.6
Pace
-1.9
66%
Returning PPA
38%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.5
Model total48.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Boise State -7.0 · No signal

-8-7-6Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Boise State line
-7.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Boise State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Boise State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Boise State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Boise State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Boise State line -6.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Boise State line -7.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BOIS wk 6 · FRES wk 6

Model margin
Boise State by 4.16
Opening line
Boise State -6.5
Latest line
Boise State -9
Close total
48.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BOIS38
FINALValley Children's Stadium
FRES31
  • WinBoise StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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