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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 6 · 2026 season

South Florida @ UTSA

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

THU, OCT 8 · FINAL · ALAMODOME
South Florida4-145%
UTSA4-155%
USFNATL RANKUTSA
34th
Model Overall
50th
25th
Model Offense
58th
51st
Model Defense
47th
1.6
Pace
0.6
13%
Returning PPA
67%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.5
Model total51.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: South Florida +6.75 · No signal

+6+7+8Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET

South Florida line
+6.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; South Florida line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; South Florida line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; South Florida line +7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; South Florida line +6.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: USF wk 6 · UTSA wk 6

Model margin
UTSA by 2.43
Opening line
South Florida +6.5
Latest line
South Florida +5.5
Close total
49.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USF24
FINALAlamodome
UTSA31
  • WinUTSAWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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