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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 1Texas @ Oklahoma

OVER 40.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · COTTON BOWL · NEUTRAL SITE
Texas4-075%
Oklahoma2-225%
TEXNATL RANKOU
15th
Model Overall
17th
11th
Model Offense
62nd
33rd
Model Defense
4th
-2.8
Pace
-1.3
72%
Returning PPA
63%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.5
Model total46.9
OVER 40.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Texas -7.5 · No signal

-10-9-8-7-6-5Open5:03 PMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Texas line
-7.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Texas line -6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Texas line -9.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Texas line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Texas line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Texas line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Texas line -7.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TEX wk 6 · OU wk 6

Model margin
Texas by 9.03
Opening line
Texas -6
Latest line
Texas -7.75
Close total
40.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TEX24
FINALCotton Bowl
OU27
  • WinTexasWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 40.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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