Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

South Alabama @ Arkansas State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

THU, OCT 8 · FINAL · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM
South Alabama3-259%
Arkansas State2-341%
USANATL RANKARST
120th
Model Overall
122nd
108th
Model Offense
127th
127th
Model Defense
94th
0.2
Pace
3.7
79%
Returning PPA
30%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total58.0
Model total56.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: South Alabama +2.75 · No signal

0+1+2+3+4Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET

South Alabama line
+2.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; South Alabama line +1.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; South Alabama line +1.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; South Alabama line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; South Alabama line +2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: USA wk 6 · ARST wk 6

Model margin
South Alabama by 0.48
Opening line
South Alabama +1
Latest line
South Alabama +3
Close total
60.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USA56
FINALCentennial Bank Stadium
ARST49
  • WinSouth AlabamaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 6 board