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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

Maryland @ AP rank 5Ohio State

OHIO STATE -33 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · OHIO STADIUM
Maryland2-31%
Ohio State4-199%
MDNATL RANKOSU
71st
Model Overall
5th
57th
Model Offense
9th
79th
Model Defense
3rd
-1.5
Pace
-4.8
54%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.0
Model total54.7
OHIO STATE -33 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Maryland +33.0 · EDGE

+32+33+34+35+36Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Maryland line
+33.0
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Maryland line +35.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Maryland line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Maryland line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Maryland line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Maryland line +32.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Maryland line +33.0; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: MD wk 6 · OSU wk 6

Model margin
Ohio State by 35.37
Opening line
Maryland +35
Latest line
Maryland +31.25
Close total
56.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MD16
FINALOhio Stadium
OSU45
  • WinOhio StateWIN HIT
  • ATSOHIO STATE -33 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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