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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

Tulsa @ Navy

OVER 47.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM
Tulsa3-253%
Navy1-347%
TLSANATL RANKNAVY
100th
Model Overall
42nd
102nd
Model Offense
49th
103rd
Model Defense
36th
3.6
Pace
-5.0
41%
Returning PPA
14%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.5
Model total50.8
OVER 47.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Tulsa +2.0 · No signal

+1+2+3Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Tulsa line
+2.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Tulsa line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Tulsa line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Tulsa line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Tulsa line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Tulsa line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Tulsa line +2.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TLSA wk 6 · NAVY wk 6

Model margin
Navy by 2.20
Opening line
Tulsa +2.5
Latest line
Tulsa +3
Close total
47.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TLSA26
FINALNavy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
NAVY34
  • WinTulsaWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 47.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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