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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

UCF @ AP rank 18Oklahoma State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · BOONE PICKENS STADIUM
UCF3-249%
Oklahoma State3-151%
UCFNATL RANKOKST
78th
Model Overall
107th
83rd
Model Offense
116th
60th
Model Defense
91st
-2.6
Pace
-3.2
25%
Returning PPA
0%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.0
Model total52.2

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UCF +10.25 · No signal

+9+10+11+12Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

UCF line
+10.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; UCF line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; UCF line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; UCF line +10.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; UCF line +10.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; UCF line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; UCF line +10.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UCF wk 6 · OKST wk 6

Model margin
Oklahoma State by 2.17
Opening line
UCF +10.5
Latest line
UCF +10.25
Close total
53.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UCF28
FINALBoone Pickens Stadium
OKST42
  • WinOklahoma StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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