SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · SIMMONS BANK LIBERTY STADIUM
UAB3-220%
Memphis4-180%
UABNATL RANKMEM
108th
Model Overall
75th
85th
Model Offense
76th
120th
Model Defense
64th
0.4
Pace
-0.2
80%
Returning PPA
6%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total58.5
Model total53.3
UNDER 57.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: UAB +14.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET
UAB line
+14.75
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; UAB line +14.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; UAB line +14.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; UAB line +14.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; UAB line +13.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; UAB line +14.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; UAB line +14.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UAB wk 6 · MEM wk 6
Model margin
Memphis by 13.99
Opening line
UAB +14.5
Latest line
UAB +15.25
Close total
55.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UAB13
FINALSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium
MEM38
WinMemphisWIN HIT
TotalUNDER 57.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
