NORTHWESTERN -35.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · RYAN FIELD
Ball State1-41%
Northwestern3-199%
BALLNATL RANKNU
131st
Model Overall
67th
134th
Model Offense
69th
99th
Model Defense
57th
-4.7
Pace
-3.4
6%
Returning PPA
89%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total53.0
Model total52.5
NORTHWESTERN -35.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Ball State +34.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET
Ball State line
+34.75
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Ball State line +36.0; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Ball State line +36.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Ball State line +36.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Ball State line +37.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Ball State line +35.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Ball State line +34.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 6 · NU wk 6
Model margin
Northwestern by 38.00
Opening line
Ball State +36
Latest line
Ball State +34.75
Close total
53.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BALL14
FINALRyan Field
NU45
WinNorthwesternWIN HIT
ATSNORTHWESTERN -35.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
