LIBERTY -13.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
THU, OCT 8 · FINAL · WILLIAMS STADIUM (VA)
Sam Houston1-314%
Liberty4-186%
SHSUNATL RANKLIB
137th
Model Overall
121st
133rd
Model Offense
81st
136th
Model Defense
134th
-2.8
Pace
-1.7
58%
Returning PPA
38%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.5
Model total51.3
LIBERTY -13.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Sam Houston +13.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET
Sam Houston line
+13.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Sam Houston line +14.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Sam Houston line +14.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Sam Houston line +13.75; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Sam Houston line +13.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: SHSU wk 6 · LIB wk 6
Model margin
Liberty by 15.77
Opening line
Sam Houston +14
Latest line
Sam Houston +13.5
Close total
52.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SHSU3
FINALWilliams Stadium (VA)
LIB35
WinLibertyWIN HIT
ATSLIBERTY -13.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
