FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -6.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
WED, OCT 7 · FINAL · PITBULL STADIUM
New Mexico State2-324%
Florida International2-276%
NMSUNATL RANKFIU
127th
Model Overall
99th
132nd
Model Offense
106th
88th
Model Defense
93rd
1.2
Pace
-0.2
24%
Returning PPA
32%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total47.0
Model total48.1
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -6.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: New Mexico State +6.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET
New Mexico State line
+6.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; New Mexico State line +4.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; New Mexico State line +5.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; New Mexico State line +6.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu: no capture.
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: NMSU wk 6 · FIU wk 6
Model margin
Florida International by 11.09
Opening line
New Mexico State +4.25
Latest line
New Mexico State +7
Close total
46.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NMSU3
FINALPitbull Stadium
FIU22
WinFlorida InternationalWIN HIT
ATSFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
