WK 1 · 2026MARKET PICKS PENDING · MODEL NUMBERS LIVE
Week 1 · 2026 season
The Board
Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.
48Games modeled
0Games with an Edge
0Games with a Lean
48Pass / Toss-up
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded. No Edges this week. Published Leans still appear and will be graded.
Saturday, Aug 29
MARKET PICKS PENDING · MODEL NUMBERS LIVE| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina @ TCU12:00 PM ET · FINAL | TCU68% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| San José State @ AP rank 14USC3:00 PM ET · FINAL | USC100% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| NC State @ Virginia3:30 PM ET · FINAL | NC State53% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Hawai'i @ Stanford7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Stanford53% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| New Mexico State @ Florida State7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Florida State96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Memphis @ UNLV10:00 PM ET · FINAL | UNLV66% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Thursday, Sep 3
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts @ Rutgers6:00 PM ET · FINAL | Rutgers99% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Akron @ Wake Forest7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Wake Forest91% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Colorado @ Georgia Tech8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Georgia Tech74% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UAB @ Illinois9:00 PM ET · FINAL | Illinois89% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Friday, Sep 4
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State @ Eastern Michigan6:30 PM ET · FINAL | Eastern Michigan83% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Toledo @ Michigan State8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Michigan State56% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UTEP @ AP rank 10Oklahoma8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Oklahoma99% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 7Miami @ Stanford9:00 PM ET · FINAL | Miami86% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Fresno State @ AP rank 14USC9:00 PM ET · FINAL | USC94% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Saturday, Sep 5
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia12:00 PM ET · FINAL | West Virginia90% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Ohio @ Nebraska12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Nebraska88% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Liberty @ James Madison12:00 PM ET · FINAL | James Madison78% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Oregon State @ AP rank 23Houston12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Houston86% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| North Texas @ AP rank 6Indiana12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Indiana96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| East Carolina @ AP rank 13Alabama12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Alabama94% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Ball State @ AP rank 1Ohio State12:30 PM ET · FINAL | Ohio State100% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Miami (OH) @ Pittsburgh12:30 PM ET · FINAL | Pittsburgh92% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Kent State @ South Carolina12:45 PM ET · FINAL | South Carolina96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Boston College @ Cincinnati3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Cincinnati70% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Tulane @ Duke3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Duke77% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Boise State @ AP rank 2Oregon3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Oregon98% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Baylor @ Auburn3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Auburn77% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Marshall @ AP rank 18Penn State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Penn State98% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Texas State @ AP rank 5Texas3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Texas95% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Oklahoma State @ Tulsa3:45 PM ET · FINAL | Oklahoma State54% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Northern Illinois @ AP rank 22Iowa4:15 PM ET · FINAL | Iowa95% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Wyoming @ Colorado State6:00 PM ET · FINAL | Colorado State59% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Florida International @ South Florida7:00 PM ET · FINAL | South Florida87% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Sam Houston @ Troy7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Troy89% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Arkansas State @ Memphis7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Memphis72% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UL Monroe @ Mississippi State7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Mississippi State96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Clemson @ AP rank 11LSU7:30 PM ET · FINAL | LSU58% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Western Michigan @ AP rank 16Michigan7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Michigan90% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Florida Atlantic @ Florida7:45 PM ET · FINAL | Florida94% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Central Michigan @ New Mexico10:00 PM ET · FINAL | New Mexico81% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UNLV @ Hawai'i10:00 PM ET · FINAL | UNLV57% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UCLA @ California10:30 PM ET · FINAL | California62% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Western Kentucky @ Nevada10:30 PM ET · FINAL | Western Kentucky56% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Sunday, Sep 6
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State @ AP rank 17Washington4:00 PM ET · FINAL | Washington86% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Wisconsin @ AP rank 4Notre Dame7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Notre Dame98% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 24Louisville @ AP rank 9Ole Miss7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Ole Miss83% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Monday, Sep 7
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| AP rank 19SMU @ Florida State7:30 PM ET · FINAL | SMU57% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.