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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Central Michigan @ New Mexico

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · UNIVERSITY STADIUM (NM)
Central Michigan0-019%
New Mexico0-081%
CMUNATL RANKUNM
83rd
Model Overall
69th
98th
Model Offense
95th
56th
Model Defense
48th
-6.1
Pace
-5.4
54%
Returning PPA
58%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.0
Model total46.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Central Michigan +10.5 · No signal

+9+10+11+12+13Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Central Michigan line
+10.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Central Michigan line +12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Central Michigan line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Central Michigan line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Central Michigan line +10.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Central Michigan line +10.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Central Michigan line +10.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: CMU wk 1 · UNM wk 1

Model margin
New Mexico by 10.68
Opening line
Central Michigan +12.5
Latest line
Central Michigan +11
Close total
47.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CMU7
FINALUniversity Stadium (NM)
UNM38
  • WinNew MexicoWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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