SUN, SEP 6 · FINAL · NISSAN STADIUM · NEUTRAL SITE
Louisville0-017%
Ole Miss0-083%
LOUNATL RANKMISS
26th
Model Overall
8th
38th
Model Offense
4th
31st
Model Defense
35th
-3.2
Pace
3.2
35%
Returning PPA
50%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.5
Model total54.0
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Louisville +6.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET
Louisville line
+6.5
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Louisville line +8.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Louisville line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Louisville line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Louisville line +6.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Louisville line +6.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Louisville line +6.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: LOU wk 1 · MISS wk 1
Model margin
Ole Miss by 15.92
Opening line
Louisville +8.5
Latest line
Louisville +6.5
Close total
55.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
LOU38
FINALNissan Stadium
MISS41
WinOle MissWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
