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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

North Texas @ AP rank 6Indiana

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (BLOOMINGTON, IN)
North Texas0-04%
Indiana0-096%
UNTNATL RANKIU
41st
Model Overall
1st
5th
Model Offense
2nd
111th
Model Defense
7th
1.6
Pace
-3.2
3%
Returning PPA
17%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.5
Model total55.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: North Texas +40.75 · No signal

+39+40+41+42Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

North Texas line
+40.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; North Texas line +40.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; North Texas line +40.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; North Texas line +39.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; North Texas line +40.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; North Texas line +40.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; North Texas line +40.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UNT wk 1 · IU wk 1

Model margin
Indiana by 39.36
Opening line
North Texas +40.5
Latest line
North Texas +39.5
Close total
56.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UNT16
FINALMemorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
IU52
  • WinIndianaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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