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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Marshall @ AP rank 18Penn State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · BEAVER STADIUM
Marshall0-02%
Penn State0-098%
MRSHNATL RANKPSU
85th
Model Overall
13th
87th
Model Offense
14th
63rd
Model Defense
28th
-0.8
Pace
-4.6
99%
Returning PPA
8%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total52.2

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Marshall +23.5 · No signal

+23+24+25Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Marshall line
+23.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MRSH wk 1 · PSU wk 1

Model margin
Penn State by 24.55
Opening line
Marshall +23.5
Latest line
Marshall +23.5
Close total
53.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MRSH0
FINALBeaver Stadium
PSU45
  • WinPenn StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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