Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Marshall line +24.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Marshall line +23.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: MRSH wk 1 · PSU wk 1
Model margin
Penn State by 24.55
Opening line
Marshall +23.5
Latest line
Marshall +23.5
Close total
53.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MRSH0
FINALBeaver Stadium
PSU45
WinPenn StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.