Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Texas State line +30.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Texas State line +29.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Texas State line +29.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Texas State line +29.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Texas State line +29.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Texas State line +29.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: TXST wk 1 · TEX wk 1
Model margin
Texas by 26.53
Opening line
Texas State +30.5
Latest line
Texas State +29.5
Close total
60.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
TXST7
FINALDKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
TEX59
WinTexasWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
