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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Oregon State @ AP rank 23Houston

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · TDECU STADIUM
Oregon State0-014%
Houston0-086%
ORSTNATL RANKHOU
118th
Model Overall
70th
126th
Model Offense
47th
86th
Model Defense
87th
0.2
Pace
0.4
58%
Returning PPA
81%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5
Model total49.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oregon State +20.75 · No signal

+18+19+20+21+22Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Oregon State line
+20.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oregon State line +18.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Oregon State line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Oregon State line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Oregon State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oregon State line +21.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Oregon State line +20.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: ORST wk 1 · HOU wk 1

Model margin
Houston by 17.79
Opening line
Oregon State +18.5
Latest line
Oregon State +21
Close total
50.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ORST20
FINALTDECU Stadium
HOU33
  • WinHoustonWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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