Downfield DataGet the board
WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Oklahoma State @ Tulsa

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · CHAPMAN STADIUM
Oklahoma State0-054%
Tulsa0-046%
OKSTNATL RANKTLSA
107th
Model Overall
100th
116th
Model Offense
102nd
91st
Model Defense
103rd
-3.2
Pace
3.6
0%
Returning PPA
41%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total61.5
Model total54.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oklahoma State -13.5 · No signal

-14-13-12-11Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Oklahoma State line
-13.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oklahoma State line -11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Oklahoma State line -13.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Oklahoma State line -13.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Oklahoma State line -13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oklahoma State line -13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Oklahoma State line -13.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: OKST wk 1 · TLSA wk 1

Model margin
Oklahoma State by 1.03
Opening line
Oklahoma State -11.5
Latest line
Oklahoma State -13.5
Close total
57.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

OKST10
FINALChapman Stadium
TLSA24
  • WinOklahoma StateWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 1 board