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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET
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Week 1 · 2026 season

UAB @ Illinois

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

THU, SEP 3 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)
UAB0-011%
Illinois0-089%
UABNATL RANKILL
108th
Model Overall
46th
85th
Model Offense
51st
120th
Model Defense
45th
0.4
Pace
-3.5
80%
Returning PPA
21%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.5
Model total53.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UAB +27.5 · No signal

+27+28+29OpenNo dataTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET

UAB line
+27.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Open: no capture.
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; UAB line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; UAB line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; UAB line +27.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: UAB wk 1 · ILL wk 1

Model margin
Illinois by 21.71
Opening line
UAB +27.5
Latest line
UAB +25.5
Close total
54.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UAB23
FINALMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
ILL42
  • WinIllinoisWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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