Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; SMU line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; SMU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; SMU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; SMU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; SMU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; SMU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: SMU wk 1 · FSU wk 1
Model margin
SMU by 0.79
Opening line
SMU -2.5
Latest line
SMU -3
Close total
54.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SMU27
FINALDoak Campbell Stadium
FSU24
WinSMUWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.