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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Boise State @ AP rank 2Oregon

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · AUTZEN STADIUM
Boise State0-02%
Oregon0-098%
BOISNATL RANKORE
54th
Model Overall
9th
78th
Model Offense
8th
39th
Model Defense
16th
2.6
Pace
-2.5
66%
Returning PPA
75%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total55.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Boise State +24.75 · No signal

+23+24+25+26Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Boise State line
+24.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Boise State line +24.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Boise State line +24.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Boise State line +24.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Boise State line +24.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Boise State line +24.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Boise State line +24.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BOIS wk 1 · ORE wk 1

Model margin
Oregon by 24.83
Opening line
Boise State +24.5
Latest line
Boise State +24.5
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BOIS27
FINALAutzen Stadium
ORE34
  • WinOregonWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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