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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

NC State @ Virginia

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, AUG 29 · FINAL · SCOTT STADIUM
NC State0-053%
Virginia0-047%
NCSUNATL RANKUVA
43rd
Model Overall
40th
35th
Model Offense
88th
49th
Model Defense
14th
-4.5
Pace
3.5
60%
Returning PPA
10%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total49.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Line history begins with the preserved opener.

RATINGS AS OF: NCSU wk 1 · UVA wk 1

Model margin
Virginia by 3.73
Opening line
NC State +3.5
Latest line
NC State +4
Close total
50.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

NCSU8
FINALScott Stadium
UVA34
  • WinNC StateWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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