SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AL)
Sam Houston0-011%
Troy0-089%
SHSUNATL RANKTROY
137th
Model Overall
96th
133rd
Model Offense
129th
136th
Model Defense
46th
-2.8
Pace
-2.1
58%
Returning PPA
35%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.5
Model total49.1
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Sam Houston +16.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET
Sam Houston line
+16.5
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Sam Houston line +17.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Sam Houston line +17.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Sam Houston line +16.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Sam Houston line +16.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Sam Houston line +16.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Sam Houston line +16.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: SHSU wk 1 · TROY wk 1
Model margin
Troy by 16.81
Opening line
Sam Houston +17.25
Latest line
Sam Houston +16.5
Close total
52.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SHSU21
FINALVeterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
TROY24
WinTroyWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
