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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Memphis @ UNLV

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, AUG 29 · FINAL · ALLEGIANT STADIUM
Memphis0-034%
UNLV0-066%
MEMNATL RANKUNLV
75th
Model Overall
59th
76th
Model Offense
26th
64th
Model Defense
89th
-0.2
Pace
-3.2
6%
Returning PPA
15%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total60.5
Model total55.2

Market cadence

Line movement

Line history begins with the preserved opener.

RATINGS AS OF: MEM wk 1 · UNLV wk 1

Model margin
UNLV by 5.99
Opening line
Memphis +3
Latest line
Memphis +4.5
Close total
55.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MEM27
FINALAllegiant Stadium
UNLV21
  • WinUNLVWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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