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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

East Carolina @ AP rank 13Alabama

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · BRYANT-DENNY STADIUM
East Carolina0-06%
Alabama0-094%
ECUNATL RANKALA
48th
Model Overall
21st
82nd
Model Offense
44th
29th
Model Defense
15th
3.7
Pace
-3.7
14%
Returning PPA
26%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total51.1

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: East Carolina +27.75 · No signal

+24+25+26+27+28+29Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

East Carolina line
+27.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; East Carolina line +25.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; East Carolina line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; East Carolina line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; East Carolina line +28.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; East Carolina line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; East Carolina line +27.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: ECU wk 1 · ALA wk 1

Model margin
Alabama by 22.89
Opening line
East Carolina +25.5
Latest line
East Carolina +28
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ECU10
FINALBryant-Denny Stadium
ALA48
  • WinAlabamaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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