Downfield DataGet the board
WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Tulane @ Duke

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · WALLACE WADE STADIUM
Tulane0-023%
Duke0-077%
TULNNATL RANKDUKE
44th
Model Overall
49th
53rd
Model Offense
16th
40th
Model Defense
102nd
-1.5
Pace
-0.0
21%
Returning PPA
17%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total54.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Tulane +7.5 · No signal

+7+8+9Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Tulane line
+7.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Tulane line +8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Tulane line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Tulane line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Tulane line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Tulane line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Tulane line +7.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TULN wk 1 · DUKE wk 1

Model margin
Duke by 9.86
Opening line
Tulane +8.5
Latest line
Tulane +9.5
Close total
51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TULN3
FINALWallace Wade Stadium
DUKE17
  • WinDukeWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 1 board