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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Florida International @ South Florida

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM
Florida International0-013%
South Florida0-087%
FIUNATL RANKUSF
99th
Model Overall
34th
106th
Model Offense
25th
93rd
Model Defense
51st
-0.2
Pace
1.6
32%
Returning PPA
13%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total57.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Florida International +14.5 · No signal

+12+13+14+15Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Florida International line
+14.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Florida International line +12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Florida International line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Florida International line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Florida International line +14.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Florida International line +14.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Florida International line +14.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: FIU wk 1 · USF wk 1

Model margin
South Florida by 17.19
Opening line
Florida International +12.5
Latest line
Florida International +14.5
Close total
53.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

FIU9
FINALRaymond James Stadium
USF19
  • WinSouth FloridaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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