Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Arkansas State line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Arkansas State line +11.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Arkansas State line +10.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Arkansas State line +11.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Arkansas State line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Arkansas State line +11.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: ARST wk 1 · MEM wk 1
Model margin
Memphis by 14.45
Opening line
Arkansas State +10.5
Latest line
Arkansas State +10.5
Close total
52.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ARST24
FINALSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium
MEM42
WinMemphisWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
