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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

AP rank 7Miami @ Stanford

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, SEP 4 · FINAL · STANFORD STADIUM
Miami0-086%
Stanford0-014%
MIANATL RANKSTAN
3rd
Model Overall
55th
13th
Model Offense
67th
2nd
Model Defense
50th
-1.8
Pace
-2.0
37%
Returning PPA
21%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.5
Model total46.6

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Miami -24.0 · No signal

-26-25-24-23-22-21-20Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET

Miami line
-24.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Miami line -21.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Miami line -24.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Miami line -24.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Miami line -24.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Miami line -24.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MIA wk 1 · STAN wk 1

Model margin
Miami by 15.85
Opening line
Miami -21.5
Latest line
Miami -24.5
Close total
46.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MIA45
FINALStanford Stadium
STAN6
  • WinMiamiWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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