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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

UCLA @ California

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · CALIFORNIA MEMORIAL STADIUM
UCLA0-038%
California0-062%
UCLANATL RANKCAL
73rd
Model Overall
66th
74th
Model Offense
32nd
69th
Model Defense
104th
-5.2
Pace
-0.3
57%
Returning PPA
58%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total56.1

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UCLA -2.5 · No signal

-4-3-2-10+1+2+3+4Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

UCLA line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; UCLA line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; UCLA line -2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; UCLA line -1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; UCLA line -1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; UCLA line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; UCLA line -2.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UCLA wk 1 · CAL wk 1

Model margin
California by 6.96
Opening line
UCLA +2.5
Latest line
UCLA -2.5
Close total
53.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UCLA45
FINALCalifornia Memorial Stadium
CAL24
  • WinCaliforniaWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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