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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Western Kentucky @ Nevada

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · MACKAY STADIUM
Western Kentucky0-056%
Nevada0-044%
WKUNATL RANKNEV
91st
Model Overall
109th
101st
Model Offense
118th
72nd
Model Defense
98th
-0.2
Pace
-5.8
84%
Returning PPA
36%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total52.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Western Kentucky -0.25 · No signal

-6-5-4-3-2-10+1Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Western Kentucky line
-0.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Western Kentucky line -4.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Western Kentucky line -1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -0.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: WKU wk 1 · NEV wk 1

Model margin
Nevada by 2.86
Opening line
Western Kentucky -4.25
Latest line
Western Kentucky -1.5
Close total
51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

WKU14
FINALMackay Stadium
NEV49
  • WinWestern KentuckyWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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