SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM · NEUTRAL SITE
Baylor0-023%
Auburn0-077%
BAYNATL RANKAUB
65th
Model Overall
14th
50th
Model Offense
30th
66th
Model Defense
13th
4.5
Pace
-0.2
60%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total58.5
Model total56.4
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Baylor +7.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET
Baylor line
+7.5
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Baylor line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Baylor line +7.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Baylor line +7.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Baylor line +7.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Baylor line +7.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Baylor line +7.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BAY wk 1 · AUB wk 1
Model margin
Auburn by 14.70
Opening line
Baylor +7
Latest line
Baylor +6.5
Close total
58.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BAY16
FINALMercedes-Benz Stadium
AUB17
WinAuburnWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
