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WK 1 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 1 · 2026 season

Northern Illinois @ AP rank 22Iowa

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 5 · FINAL · KINNICK STADIUM
Northern Illinois0-05%
Iowa0-095%
NIUNATL RANKIOWA
134th
Model Overall
16th
117th
Model Offense
46th
135th
Model Defense
8th
-4.1
Pace
-6.9
44%
Returning PPA
34%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total43.5
Model total47.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Northern Illinois +31.75 · No signal

+29+30+31+32+33Open5:03 PMTue9:06 AMWed7:02 AMThu7:02 AMFri5:03 PMSat7:02 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET

Northern Illinois line
+31.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Northern Illinois line +29.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 1, 9:06:03 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +31.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 2, 7:02:07 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +31.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 3, 7:02:06 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +31.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Northern Illinois line +31.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 5, 7:02:53 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +31.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: NIU wk 1 · IOWA wk 1

Model margin
Iowa by 33.58
Opening line
Northern Illinois +29.5
Latest line
Northern Illinois +31.5
Close total
44.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

NIU0
FINALKinnick Stadium
IOWA40
  • WinIowaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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