WK 10 · 2026LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:04 AM ET
Week 10 · 2026 season
The Board
Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.
59Games modeled
32Games with an Edge
7Games with a Lean
22Pass / Toss-up
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
Thursday, Nov 5
LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:04 AM ET| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison @ Southern Miss8:00 PM ET · FINAL | James Madison83% | SOUTHERN MISS +13.5 · EDGE | – |
Friday, Nov 6
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech @ SMU7:00 PM ET · FINAL | SMU78% | SMU -6 · EDGE | – |
| South Florida @ East Carolina7:30 PM ET · FINAL | South Florida70% | SOUTH FLORIDA +1.75 · EDGE | OVER 39.25 · LEAN |
| AP rank 22New Mexico @ Nevada9:00 PM ET · FINAL | New Mexico71% | NEVADA +10 · EDGE | – |
| TCU @ AP rank 24Arizona10:15 PM ET · FINAL | Arizona79% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 46.5 · EDGE |
Saturday, Nov 7
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Baylor79% | BAYLOR -9.75 · EDGE | – |
| AP rank 7BYU @ AP rank 3Utah12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Utah73% | UTAH -5.25 · EDGE | – |
| AP rank 10Texas @ AP rank 19Missouri12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Texas58% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 43 · EDGE |
| Florida State @ Boston College12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Florida State75% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 52.5 · EDGE |
| Arkansas @ Auburn12:45 PM ET · FINAL | Auburn68% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 53.75 · EDGE |
| Oklahoma State @ Kansas State1:00 PM ET · FINAL | Kansas State65% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 62.5 · EDGE |
| Georgia State @ App State2:30 PM ET · FINAL | Georgia State53% | GEORGIA STATE +6.5 · EDGE | – |
| UL Monroe @ Arkansas State3:00 PM ET · FINAL | Arkansas State78% | UL MONROE +14.5 · EDGE | – |
| Oregon @ AP rank 11Ohio State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Ohio State68% | OHIO STATE -6 · EDGE | OVER 45.5 · EDGE |
| AP rank 9Alabama @ AP rank 15LSU3:30 PM ET · FINAL | LSU53% | ALABAMA +3.5 · EDGE | UNDER 52.5 · EDGE |
| Charlotte @ UAB3:30 PM ET · FINAL | UAB91% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 47.5 · EDGE |
| Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Western Kentucky61% | WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5 · EDGE | – |
| Louisiana Tech @ Troy4:00 PM ET · FINAL | Louisiana Tech68% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 47.75 · EDGE |
| Rice @ North Texas4:00 PM ET · FINAL | North Texas91% | NORTH TEXAS -16.75 · EDGE | UNDER 64.5 · EDGE |
| Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State4:15 PM ET · FINAL | Mississippi State53% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 48.5 · EDGE |
| Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Jacksonville State86% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 47.25 · EDGE |
| AP rank 2Georgia @ AP rank 12Ole Miss7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Georgia59% | GEORGIA -4.5 · EDGE | – |
| Louisville @ Georgia Tech7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Louisville80% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 62.25 · EDGE |
| Michigan State @ Michigan7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Michigan89% | MICHIGAN STATE +16.5 · EDGE | OVER 39.75 · EDGE |
| Colorado @ Arizona State7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Arizona State73% | ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE | – |
| AP rank 1Miami @ AP rank 4Notre Dame7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Notre Dame69% | NOTRE DAME -3.5 · EDGE | UNDER 57.5 · EDGE |
| AP rank 21Iowa @ Northwestern7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Iowa51% | IOWA +2.5 · EDGE | OVER 45.25 · EDGE |
| Air Force @ Army7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Army69% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 44.5 · EDGE |
| Oklahoma @ AP rank 25Florida7:45 PM ET · FINAL | Florida58% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 45.25 · EDGE |
| Liberty @ New Mexico State8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Liberty90% | NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 · EDGE | OVER 46 · EDGE |
| West Virginia @ AP rank 13Texas Tech9:30 PM ET · FINAL | Texas Tech95% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 65.5 · EDGE |
| Texas State @ Oregon State10:30 PM ET · FINAL | Oregon State59% | TEXAS STATE +6.25 · EDGE | UNDER 71.25 · LEAN |
Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.