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WK 8 · 2026LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

The Board

Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.

53Games modeled
21Games with an Edge
3Games with a Lean
30Pass / Toss-up

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Tuesday, Oct 20

LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:03 AM ET
Tuesday, Oct 20 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International7:00 PM ET · FINALFlorida International82%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
South Alabama @ Marshall7:30 PM ET · FINALSouth Alabama61%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 64.75 · EDGE

Wednesday, Oct 21

Wednesday, Oct 21 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston8:00 PM ET · FINALNew Mexico State59%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 45.25 · LEAN

Thursday, Oct 22

Thursday, Oct 22 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
James Madison @ App State7:00 PM ET · FINALJames Madison77%APP STATE +11.75 · EDGE–
Liberty @ Kennesaw State7:00 PM ET · FINALLiberty78%LIBERTY -8.5 · EDGE–
East Carolina @ Memphis7:30 PM ET · FINALMemphis75%EAST CAROLINA +10.5 · EDGE–

Friday, Oct 23

Friday, Oct 23 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Massachusetts @ UConn7:00 PM ETUConn90%UConn -14.5–
Duke @ Virginia7:00 PM ETDuke64%Duke +2.5–
Army @ Tulsa8:30 PM ETArmy64%ARMY +1.5 · EDGE–
Air Force @ Wyoming9:00 PM ETAir Force72%Wyoming +5.5OVER 45 · EDGE
NC State @ Stanford10:30 PM ETNC State71%Stanford +7.25–

Saturday, Oct 24

Saturday, Oct 24 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
AP rank 6Indiana @ Michigan12:00 PM ETIndiana70%Indiana -7.25–
Pittsburgh @ AP rank 1Miami12:00 PM ETMiami95%PITTSBURGH +19.75 · EDGE–
AP rank 18LSU @ Auburn12:00 PM ETLSU73%Auburn +7–
West Virginia @ TCU12:00 PM ETTCU80%TCU -11.25 · EDGE–
AP rank 8Texas Tech @ Cincinnati12:00 PM ETTexas Tech89%TEXAS TECH -11.5 · EDGE–
Western Michigan @ Toledo12:00 PM ETToledo67%Toledo -3.25–
Rutgers @ AP rank 24Northwestern12:00 PM ETNorthwestern87%Rutgers +16.5UNDER 58.75 · EDGE
California @ AP rank 23SMU12:00 PM ETSMU87%California +18.75–
Rice @ Florida Atlantic12:00 PM ETFlorida Atlantic90%Florida Atlantic -7.75–
Baylor @ Kansas1:00 PM ETBaylor59%Baylor -2.5–
Akron @ Kent State1:00 PM ETKent State53%Kent State -3–
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan1:00 PM ETMiami (OH)56%Central Michigan +3–
Oregon @ Illinois3:00 PM ETOregon77%ILLINOIS +9.25 · EDGE–
North Texas @ Navy3:30 PM ETNavy51%Navy +2.5UNDER 62.75 · EDGE
AP rank 15Iowa @ Minnesota3:30 PM ETIowa77%IOWA -7 · EDGEOVER 40.5 · LEAN
Oklahoma @ Mississippi State3:30 PM ETOklahoma62%Oklahoma -3OVER 46.25 · EDGE
AP rank 11Tennessee @ South Carolina3:30 PM ETTennessee63%Tennessee +2.25–
Bowling Green @ Buffalo3:30 PM ETBuffalo78%Buffalo -3–
AP rank 2BYU @ UCF3:30 PM ETBYU78%BYU -7OVER 43.5 · EDGE
Texas A&M @ AP rank 13Alabama3:30 PM ETAlabama73%Texas A&M +13.5–
Boston College @ Georgia Tech3:30 PM ETGeorgia Tech70%Georgia Tech -5.5–
Michigan State @ AP rank 9UCLA3:30 PM ETUCLA82%Michigan State +14.5OVER 43.5 · LEAN
Hawai'i @ Northern Illinois3:30 PM ETHawai'i73%Northern Illinois +4–
Kansas State @ Arizona State3:45 PM ETKansas State68%Kansas State -2.5–
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio4:00 PM ETOhio67%Eastern Michigan +11.5–
UL Monroe @ Troy4:00 PM ETTroy89%UL Monroe +13.5–
Louisiana @ Southern Miss5:00 PM ETLouisiana77%Louisiana -9.75–
San José State @ Nevada5:00 PM ETNevada81%Nevada -6.75OVER 46.5 · EDGE
Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech5:00 PM ETLouisiana Tech80%OLD DOMINION +13.5 · EDGE–
AP rank 21Boise State @ Washington State6:00 PM ETBoise State75%Washington State +13.5–
San Diego State @ Colorado State6:30 PM ETSan Diego State60%San Diego State -1.25UNDER 62.5 · EDGE
Colorado @ Oklahoma State7:00 PM ETOklahoma State69%COLORADO +13.5 · EDGE–
Virginia Tech @ Clemson7:00 PM ETClemson57%Clemson -2.5–
Georgia State @ Arkansas State7:00 PM ETGeorgia State59%Arkansas State +2.5–
Vanderbilt @ AP rank 12Kentucky7:30 PM ETKentucky74%Vanderbilt +10.75–
Utah State @ Texas State7:30 PM ETTexas State85%TEXAS STATE -13.5 · EDGEUNDER 61.25 · EDGE
AP rank 7Ole Miss @ AP rank 19Texas7:30 PM ETTexas56%Ole Miss +3.25–
Iowa State @ AP rank 25Arizona7:30 PM ETArizona86%Arizona -9.75–
AP rank 16USC @ Wisconsin7:30 PM ETUSC58%Wisconsin +3UNDER 50.25 · EDGE
Syracuse @ North Carolina7:30 PM ETNorth Carolina74%Syracuse +9.5–
UTSA @ Tulane8:00 PM ETUTSA55%Tulane +3–
AP rank 14Houston @ AP rank 10Utah10:15 PM ETUtah85%Utah -6.5–

Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.