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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

Oklahoma @ Mississippi State

Published signal: OVER 46.25 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · DAVIS WADE STADIUM
Oklahoma3-362%
Mississippi State4-238%
OUNATL RANKMSST
17th
Model Overall
72nd
62nd
Model Offense
55th
4th
Model Defense
80th
-1.3
Pace
1.9
63%
Returning PPA
34%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total46.3
Model total50.4
OVER 46.25 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oklahoma -3.0 · No signal

-5-4-3-2-1Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

Oklahoma line
-3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Oklahoma line -2.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Oklahoma line -4.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Oklahoma line -4.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Oklahoma line -4.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Oklahoma line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: OU wk 8 · MSST wk 8

Model margin
Oklahoma by 5.10
Opening line
Oklahoma -2
Latest line
Oklahoma -3
Close total
46.3
ATS
Oklahoma -3
Total pick
OVER 46.25 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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