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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

Bowling Green @ Buffalo

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · UB STADIUM
Bowling Green2-522%
Buffalo4-378%
BGSUNATL RANKBUF
133rd
Model Overall
111th
135th
Model Offense
125th
106th
Model Defense
77th
-3.9
Pace
0.6
-6%
Returning PPA
-1%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total44.0
Model total47.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Bowling Green +3.0 · No signal

+2+3+4+5Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

Bowling Green line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +4.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: BGSU wk 8 · BUF wk 8

Model margin
Buffalo by 16.91
Opening line
Bowling Green +4.5
Latest line
Bowling Green +3
Close total
44.8
ATS
Buffalo -3
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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