No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · UB STADIUM
Bowling Green2-522%
Buffalo4-378%
BGSUNATL RANKBUF
133rd
Model Overall
111th
135th
Model Offense
125th
106th
Model Defense
77th
-3.9
Pace
0.6
-6%
Returning PPA
-1%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total44.0
Model total47.7
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Bowling Green +3.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET
Bowling Green line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +4.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Bowling Green line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: BGSU wk 8 · BUF wk 8
Model margin
Buffalo by 16.91
Opening line
Bowling Green +4.5
Latest line
Bowling Green +3
Close total
44.8
ATS
Buffalo -3
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.