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WK 8 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED SAT 11:04 AM ET
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Week 8 · 2026 season

South Alabama @ Marshall

UNDER 64.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

TUE, OCT 20 · FINAL · JOAN C. EDWARDS STADIUM
South Alabama4-261%
Marshall3-339%
USANATL RANKMRSH
120th
Model Overall
85th
108th
Model Offense
87th
127th
Model Defense
63rd
0.2
Pace
-0.8
79%
Returning PPA
99%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total62.5
Model total58.8
UNDER 64.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: South Alabama -2.5 · No signal

-4-3-2Open11:04 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThuNo dataFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET

South Alabama line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; South Alabama line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; South Alabama line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu: no capture.
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: USA wk 8 · MRSH wk 8

Model margin
South Alabama by 0.77
Opening line
South Alabama -3
Latest line
South Alabama -1.5
Close total
66.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USA13
FINALJoan C. Edwards Stadium
MRSH20
  • WinSouth AlabamaWIN MISS
  • TotalUNDER 64.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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