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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

Michigan State @ AP rank 9UCLA

Published signal: OVER 43.5 · LEAN.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · ROSE BOWL
Michigan State2-518%
UCLA6-082%
MSUNATL RANKUCLA
58th
Model Overall
73rd
45th
Model Offense
74th
62nd
Model Defense
69th
-4.2
Pace
-5.2
21%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total46.8
Model total52.1
OVER 43.5 · LEAN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Michigan State +14.5 · No signal

+13+14+15+16Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

Michigan State line
+14.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Michigan State line +13.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Michigan State line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Michigan State line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Michigan State line +14.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Michigan State line +14.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MSU wk 8 · UCLA wk 8

Model margin
UCLA by 7.60
Opening line
Michigan State +13.75
Latest line
Michigan State +14.5
Close total
43.5
ATS
Michigan State +14.5
Total pick
OVER 43.5 · LEAN
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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