EAST CAROLINA +10.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
THU, OCT 22 · FINAL · SIMMONS BANK LIBERTY STADIUM
East Carolina3-325%
Memphis5-275%
ECUNATL RANKMEM
48th
Model Overall
75th
82nd
Model Offense
76th
29th
Model Defense
64th
3.7
Pace
-0.2
14%
Returning PPA
6%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total53.8
Model total52.6
EAST CAROLINA +10.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: East Carolina +10.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET
East Carolina line
+10.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; East Carolina line +9.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; East Carolina line +10.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; East Carolina line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; East Carolina line +10.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ECU wk 8 · MEM wk 8
Model margin
Memphis by 8.40
Opening line
East Carolina +9.75
Latest line
East Carolina +10.5
Close total
55.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ECU34
FINALSimmons Bank Liberty Stadium
MEM41
WinMemphisWIN HIT
ATSEAST CAROLINA +10.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
