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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 12:00 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

California @ AP rank 23SMU

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 12:00 PM ET · GERALD J. FORD STADIUM
California3-413%
SMU5-187%
CALNATL RANKSMU
66th
Model Overall
11th
32nd
Model Offense
7th
104th
Model Defense
27th
-0.3
Pace
-1.3
58%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.0
Model total56.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: California +18.75 · No signal

+17+18+19+20+21Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

California line
+18.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; California line +18.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; California line +19.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; California line +19.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; California line +18.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; California line +18.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: CAL wk 8 · SMU wk 8

Model margin
SMU by 14.23
Opening line
California +18
Latest line
California +18.75
Close total
55.5
ATS
California +18.75
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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