SAT, OCT 24 · 3:00 PM ET · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)
Oregon4-277%
Illinois3-323%
ORENATL RANKILL
9th
Model Overall
46th
8th
Model Offense
51st
16th
Model Defense
45th
-2.5
Pace
-3.5
75%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total51.3
Model total50.0
ILLINOIS +9.25 · EDGE
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Oregon -9.25 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET
Oregon line
-9.25
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Oregon line -11.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Oregon line -8.75; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Oregon line -9.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Oregon line -8.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Oregon line -9.25; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ORE wk 8 · ILL wk 8
Model margin
Oregon by 6.86
Opening line
Oregon -11.25
Latest line
Oregon -9.25
Close total
49.8
ATS
ILLINOIS +9.25 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
