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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 3:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

North Texas @ Navy

Published signal: UNDER 62.75 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 3:30 PM ET · NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM
North Texas4-249%
Navy2-451%
UNTNATL RANKNAVY
41st
Model Overall
42nd
5th
Model Offense
49th
111th
Model Defense
36th
1.6
Pace
-5.0
3%
Returning PPA
14%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total62.3
Model total55.2
UNDER 62.75 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: North Texas -2.5 · No signal

-3-2-1Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

North Texas line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; North Texas line -1.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; North Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; North Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; North Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; North Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: UNT wk 8 · NAVY wk 8

Model margin
Navy by 4.89
Opening line
North Texas -1.75
Latest line
North Texas -2.5
Close total
62.8
ATS
Navy +2.5
Total pick
UNDER 62.75 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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