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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 7:30 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

AP rank 16USC @ Wisconsin

Published signal: UNDER 50.25 · EDGE.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 7:30 PM ET · CAMP RANDALL STADIUM
USC6-158%
Wisconsin4-242%
USCNATL RANKWIS
33rd
Model Overall
68th
15th
Model Offense
110th
65th
Model Defense
34th
-3.1
Pace
-8.7
59%
Returning PPA
31%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.5
Model total46.9
UNDER 50.25 · EDGE

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: USC -3.0 · No signal

-4-3-2-1Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

USC line
-3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; USC line -1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; USC line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; USC line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; USC line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; USC line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: USC wk 8 · WIS wk 8

Model margin
USC by 2.88
Opening line
USC -1.5
Latest line
USC -3
Close total
50.3
ATS
Wisconsin +3
Total pick
UNDER 50.25 · EDGE
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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