No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 24 · 7:00 PM ET · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM
Georgia State4-259%
Arkansas State3-441%
GASTNATL RANKARST
116th
Model Overall
122nd
84th
Model Offense
127th
130th
Model Defense
94th
0.7
Pace
3.7
47%
Returning PPA
30%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.0
Model total56.7
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Georgia State -2.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET
Georgia State line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 8 · ARST wk 8
Model margin
Georgia State by 1.77
Opening line
Georgia State -2
Latest line
Georgia State -2.5
Close total
57.8
ATS
Arkansas State +2.5
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.