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WK 8 · 2026KICK SAT, OCT 24 7:00 PM ETOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 8 · 2026 season

Georgia State @ Arkansas State

No qualified market signals were published. An informational ATS opinion may appear with the current line.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 24 · 7:00 PM ET · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM
Georgia State4-259%
Arkansas State3-441%
GASTNATL RANKARST
116th
Model Overall
122nd
84th
Model Offense
127th
130th
Model Defense
94th
0.7
Pace
3.7
47%
Returning PPA
30%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.0
Model total56.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Georgia State -2.5 · No signal

-3-2-1Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:04 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET

Georgia State line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 22, 11:03:59 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 23, 11:03:33 AM ET; Georgia State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 8 · ARST wk 8

Model margin
Georgia State by 1.77
Opening line
Georgia State -2
Latest line
Georgia State -2.5
Close total
57.8
ATS
Arkansas State +2.5
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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