Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; New Mexico State line -2.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Oct 20, 11:03:15 AM ET; New Mexico State line -3.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 21, 11:04:05 AM ET; New Mexico State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Thu: no capture.
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: NMSU wk 8 · SHSU wk 8
Model margin
Sam Houston by 0.73
Opening line
New Mexico State -2.5
Latest line
New Mexico State -3
Close total
46.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NMSU30
FINALElliott T. Bowers Stadium
SHSU24
WinNew Mexico StateWIN HIT
TotalOVER 45.25 · LEANLEAN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.